Absorption Forecast
How fast each unit type in Sample Tower C is expected to sell, month by month.
Forecast chart
Cumulative share of units sold per month by unit type. The pale band around each line is the likely range.
At planned prices
At suggested prices The curves shift earlier.
Green: 1-bedroom units. Orange: studios. Blue: 2-bedroom units. The 3-bedroom units are in the table in the next step.
Price scenario
Suggested prices: studios 4% lower, 1-bedroom 1% lower, 2-bedroom 1% lower, 3-bedroom 5% higher.
Sample forecast. It is an estimate, not a promise of sales.
Months to 50% and 90% sold
Per unit type, at planned prices and at suggested prices.
| Unit type | Units | 50% sold, planned prices | 90% sold, planned prices | 50% sold, suggested prices | 90% sold, suggested prices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Studio | 60 | 14 months | 27 months | 11 months | 22 months |
| 1-bedroom | 80 | 9 months | 19 months | 8 months | 17 months |
| 2-bedroom | 60 | 10 months | 21 months | 9 months | 19 months |
| 3-bedroom | 20 | 4 months | 9 months | 4 months | 10 months |
What drives the forecast
Studios sell slowest because 60 are planned and only 38 buyers asked for one in the test launch. A 4% lower price brings studios to 90% sold about 5 months earlier. The 3-bedroom units sell fastest because demand is 3.1 times supply, so a 5% higher price adds only about one month. Interest from the United Kingdom and Indonesia accounts for most of the first-year sales.
Based on test launch interest, price sensitivity and buyer activity by country.